Rapid increase in demand for capital, rising prices
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From the nine major types of monitored chemical products, raw coal, refined oil, etc., except for electromechanical and automobile sales, the other basic raw material products showed a general upward trend. Among them, coal products rose the most prominent, reaching 7.9%; followed by chemical and building materials products, rose more than 4%; followed by refined oil, wood and steel, or about 2%. The varieties that rose more than 10% mainly included natural rubber, methanol, ethylene glycol, soda ash, etc. The growth of fuel oil and cement was also significant, rising by 7.3% and 5.7% respectively.
The rising trend of the prices of production materials is clearly reflected in the survey data of the manufacturing PMI, of which the purchase price index reached 60.5%, 65.3%, 69.9% and 73.5% in August, September, October and November, respectively. From the survey conducted by the surveyed companies, the most prominent problem is that prices have risen, accounting for 37% of companies that have reported problems, and rose by 3.6 percentage points from October. Most companies indicated that prices of current crops and agricultural and sideline products have risen rapidly; supply of raw materials such as cotton and cotton yarn has been in short supply, and market prices have skyrocketed; natural rubber prices have continued to rise, and prices have risen strongly; prices for coal, diesel oil, and steel have gained momentum.
From the trend point of view, after entering December, the prices of the means of production still showed a strong and upward trend. It is estimated that in the past two or three months, under the influence of steady growth in demand and pressure from imported inflation, the prices of capital goods will remain firm or slightly increase, but the upward trend will slow down. It is expected that the overall level of prices for production materials will increase by about 12.7% over 2009.
In general, China's economy is still in a rising stage. The rigid demand for economic development will continue to promote steady and rapid growth in market supply and demand, and prices will continue to fluctuate upward. However, it must be noted that the current economic situation is more complex and there is greater uncertainty in the future trend. We must pay close attention to this to prevent these uncertain factors from becoming unstable factors in economic development, and to promote stable and rapid economic growth. Continue to consolidate and enhance.